IVANS Index is a data-driven report of current conditions and trends for premium renewal rate change of the most placed commercial lines of business in the insurance industry. Data collected in the IVANS Index enables insurers to determine competitive rates and the most profitable lines of business for investment. To learn more about IVANS Index, read IVANS Index: Industry Insights to Help You Run Your Business Better.
Auto insurance losses a cause of pain for most insurers over the past 18 months
Fitch ratings has stated that “U.S. commercial auto insurance has evolved into a chronically underperforming product segment.” Increased losses have been attributed to more miles driven as the economy recovers and gas prices remain low, distracted driving caused by cell phones, higher repair costs, and higher bodily injury severity.
Despite consistent and worsening product performance results, commercial auto premium renewal rates have remained steady since the beginning of the year. In July, rates moved above 3% and remained above 3% in August. One of the largest drivers of the increase has been California. As noted in the graph above, California commercial auto is on the move upwards. Many other large states have remained steady.
Will California be an early leader that other states follow? With Harvey impacting Texas and Irma likely causing substantial losses in Florida, it is likely that other states may be following soon.